The 80/20 of Company Research: How to Analyze Any Stock in Under 60 Minutes
The 60-Minute Investor: How the 80/20 Rule Can Transform Your Stock Research
I stumbled across an eye-opening stat the other day...
The average investor spends 5+ hours researching a single stock before investing.
And yet, when I looked at my own best investments, I realized something that hit me like a ton of bricks – most of that research time probably didn't matter much.
Let me explain.
When I first started investing, I'd get completely overwhelmed. I'd open 20+ browser tabs, download quarterly reports, listen to earnings calls, read analyst opinions... and then often end up not investing at all because I felt like I still didn't know "enough."
Maybe you've been there too?
But here's what I've been learning: investing doesn't have to be this complicated.
The greatest investors don't analyze everything – they focus intensely on what actually matters. They follow the 80/20 rule, where roughly 20% of your research efforts generate 80% of the insights you need.
I'm still figuring this out myself, but I want to share the framework I've been developing to analyze any company in under 60 minutes. Not because I'm an expert (I'm definitely not!), but because I think it might help you avoid some of the time-wasting rabbit holes I've fallen into.
Why Most of Us Get Stock Research Wrong
The truth is, we're drowning in financial information these days.
CNBC, Yahoo Finance, Reddit, Twitter, YouTube "gurus" promising 100x returns... it's endless.
With so much noise, it's incredibly hard to focus on what truly matters when analyzing a company. I've noticed three big mistakes I kept making:
Mistake #1: Confusing activity with progress
I'd spend hours reading everything about a company, thinking all that time meant I was being thorough. But I was just keeping busy without getting clarity.
Mistake #2: Overvaluing recent news and undervaluing long-term fundamentals
I'd obsess over the latest earnings report or news story, giving it way more importance than the company's consistent performance over years.
Mistake #3: Trying to predict short-term price movements
I'd waste energy trying to guess where the stock price would go in the next few months, rather than focusing on the underlying business quality.
The research is pretty clear on this. Studies show that frequent traders typically underperform the market, with one analysis finding that investors who trade the most earn annual returns 6.5% lower than the overall market.
Instead of following the herd, what if we built a simpler approach?
The Critical Few: Metrics That Actually Matter
After reading countless books and learning from my mistakes, I've noticed that just a handful of metrics can tell you most of what you need to know about a company's quality.
Here are the five I've found most useful:
1. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
This might be the single most important number to check. It shows how efficiently a company uses its capital to generate profits.
ROIC = Net Operating Profit After Tax / Invested Capital
Why it matters: Companies with consistently high ROIC (above 15%) usually have some kind of competitive advantage or "moat" that protects their profits from competitors.
Research backs this up. Studies show companies with high ROIC (top quintile) outperform the market by 3-5% annually on average. Even more impressive, companies that demonstrate rising ROIC and high incremental returns on invested capital tend to outperform the market by 6-8% annually over long periods. This relationship holds across nearly all industries, from technology to consumer staples.
2. Free Cash Flow Growth
Free cash flow is what's left after a company pays for everything it needs to maintain and grow its business. It's the money that can actually be returned to shareholders or reinvested.
Why it matters: Earnings can be manipulated, but cash is much harder to fake. Strong and growing free cash flow is a sign of business health.
When examining this, I look for:
Is FCF growing consistently?
Is FCF growing faster than revenue? (This suggests improving efficiency)
Is FCF per share growing? (This accounts for dilution)
3. Operating Margins
Operating margin shows what percentage of revenue becomes operating profit before interest and taxes.
Why it matters: Expanding operating margins often indicate a company with pricing power (ability to raise prices) and operating leverage (fixed costs that don't increase with revenue).
Look for:
Consistent or improving margins over time
Margins better than industry averages
Management's comments on sustainable margin improvements
4. Revenue Growth (With Context)
Revenue growth only matters when it creates value. A company can grow revenue by making terrible acquisitions or selling products at a loss – neither creates shareholder value.
I've learned to examine:
Organic growth rates (excluding acquisitions)
Growth relative to the broader industry
Whether growth comes with stable or improving profitability
5. Financial Health Check
A quick look at debt levels can save you from disaster. Even great businesses can struggle under too much debt.
Simple checks include:
Debt-to-equity ratio
Interest coverage ratio (how easily the company can pay interest on its debt)
Current ratio (short-term assets vs. liabilities)
These five metrics aren't everything, but research suggests they cover the most critical aspects of financial performance that predict long-term stock returns.
Beyond Numbers: The Qualitative Factors
Numbers tell only part of the story. Some of the most important aspects of a company can't be quantified.
Here are the qualitative factors I've found most helpful to assess:
Competitive Advantage
Try to identify if the company has one or more of these advantages:
Network effects (product becomes more valuable as more people use it)
Switching costs (difficult or expensive for customers to change providers)
Cost advantages (can produce goods/services more cheaply than competitors)
Intangible assets (brands, patents, licenses)
Ask: "What would make it difficult for a new company to come in and take this company's customers?"
Management Quality
The people running the company matter enormously. In a quick analysis, I look for:
Insider ownership (Do they have skin in the game?)
Capital allocation track record
Consistency between what they say and what they do
Focus on long-term value creation vs. short-term stock price
Industry Trends
Even average companies can do well in growing industries, while excellent companies can struggle in declining ones.
I try to understand:
Is the overall industry growing or shrinking?
Are there technological changes disrupting the industry?
What regulatory changes might impact the business?
My 60-Minute Framework: Step by Step
Here's the process I've been developing to analyze any company efficiently:
Minutes 0-15: Financial Snapshot
Start with the five key metrics we discussed:
ROIC: Trend over 5 years?
Free Cash Flow: Growing consistently?
Operating Margins: Stable or expanding?
Revenue Growth: Organic and profitable?
Debt Levels: Manageable?
Where to find this info quickly:
Company investor relations website (investor presentations often summarize these)
Financial websites like Macrotrends.net
Annual reports (skip to the financial highlights)
Minutes 15-30: Understand the Business
Before diving deeper into numbers, make sure you actually understand how the company makes money.
Ask yourself:
What products or services does this company sell?
Who are their customers?
How do they make money? (Business model)
What's their competitive position?
Quick research sources:
Company "About Us" page
First few pages of the most recent annual report
Wikipedia page on the company
Product/service pages on their website
Minutes 30-45: Check Qualitative Factors
Now examine the non-numerical aspects:
What's the company's competitive advantage?
How capable is the management team?
What industry trends will affect them?
What risks could undermine their business?
Efficient research sources:
CEO's letter to shareholders
Company mission and values statements
Recent major news about the company or industry
Introductory paragraphs of analyst reports (if available)
Minutes 45-60: Valuation Reality Check
I'm not a fan of complex valuation models for initial analysis. Instead, I look at:
Current valuation ratios compared to historical averages
Valuation compared to similar companies
Whether the current price seems reasonable given growth prospects
Then make a decision: Add to watchlist, research further, or invest a starter position.
Putting It All Together: A Case Study
Let me walk you through how this might work with a real example.
Imagine we're analyzing a software company (I'll keep it generic since specific stock recommendations aren't the point here).
Financial Snapshot (15 minutes):
ROIC: Increasing from 15% to 22% over five years
Free Cash Flow: $1.2 billion, growing at 18% annually
Operating Margin: Expanded from 25% to 32%
Revenue Growth: 15% organic growth
Debt: Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.3
Understanding the Business (15 minutes):
B2B software provider with subscription revenue model
Serves mid-sized and large enterprises
85% of revenue is recurring through multi-year contracts
#2 player in a growing market with 24% market share
Qualitative Factors (15 minutes):
Strong competitive advantage through high switching costs
Management team owns significant equity and has expanded margins
Industry trend toward cloud solutions is favorable
Risks include new competitors and potential customer budget cuts
Valuation Check (15 minutes):
P/E ratio of 28 compared to 5-year average of 32
Free cash flow yield of 3.5%
PEG ratio (P/E divided by growth rate) of 1.5
Based on this hour of research, I'd have a good sense of whether this is the kind of company I want to own part of.
Less Research, Better Decisions
I've found that spending more time researching doesn't necessarily lead to better investment decisions. In fact, it often leads to:
Analysis paralysis - So much information that you never actually invest
Overconfidence - Thinking you know more than the market
Overlooking the most important factors - Missing the forest for the trees
The research backs this up. Studies show that simplicity often beats complexity in investment decision-making. One famous example is the "Dogs of the Dow" strategy, which has historically outperformed many complex approaches.
I'm still learning and refining my approach, but I've found that focusing intensely on what matters most has helped me:
Analyze more companies in less time
Make decisions with greater confidence
Avoid getting lost in unimportant details
Try This Yourself
Next time you're considering a stock, try this 60-minute approach. You might be surprised how quickly you can get to the heart of whether a company is worth your investment.
Remember, the goal isn't perfect information (impossible) or certainty (also impossible). It's making a reasonably informed decision with the critical information that actually matters.
Great investing isn't about having all the answers. It's about asking the right questions.
I'd love to hear your thoughts on this approach. What metrics do you find most valuable in your own research?
Pretty solid approach.
Great to see you reflect on typical mistakes - I think mistake #3 is especially common - and to see what you focus on instead. In terms of critical metrics to zone in on, I'd add one external factor - not buying when the stock is at its most expensive. Great post.